The Big Questions — Cost, Legality, and Reality

Behind the attention-grabbing headline lies a big question: Can Trump actually afford this plan?

Experts are skeptical. Analysts estimate that sending $2,000 to most Americans would cost between $300 billion and $513 billion, depending on eligibility and whether children are included. Economist Erica York explained, “If the cutoff is $100,000, about 150 million adults would qualify — that’s roughly $300 billion in total. Yet tariffs have only raised about $90 billion so far.”

Beyond cost, there’s also a legal storm brewing. The Supreme Court is currently reviewing challenges to Trump’s use of emergency powers to impose tariffs — three lower courts have already ruled his approach illegal. If the tariffs fall through, so would any plan to use their revenue for public payouts.

For now, Trump’s $2,000 promise remains an ambitious — and uncertain — pledge. Until there’s clarity on eligibility, timing, and legality, experts advise Americans not to count on the cash just yet.

Because when it comes to Trump’s promises, one thing is certain: it’s best not to spend the money before it hits your account.